Recently, the International Energy Agency (IEA) released the "World Energy Outlook 2014" report. The report said that the global coal resources are abundant to ensure stable supply. However, future consumption depends on pollution control and CO2 emission reduction needs.
China's coal demand accounts for a proportion of global coal consumption that will stagnate at a level slightly above 50%, and will decline after 2030. Coal demand in the OECD, including the United States, will decline. Coal demand in the United States will fall by 1/3. By 2020, India will replace the United States as the world’s second-largest coal consumer, and will soon surpass China to become the world’s largest coal importer. By 2040, China, India, Indonesia and Australia will account for 70% of global coal production.
Efforts to reduce emissions
The difficulty of reducing emissions is not small. People are worried about the current energy use situation in various countries and will not be able to ensure that the global warming is less than 2 degrees Celsius. The latest report on actual energy trends released by the International Energy Agency has deepened people's concerns. Because the data given in the report proves that the current coal consumption has risen sharply from 7.2 billion tons in 2010, it is increasing year by year.
The Director of International Energy Agency Maria van der Huven stated frankly that, despite the demand for emission reductions in various countries, and many recent pledges and policies aimed at mitigating climate change, these commitments and policies are basically in the next five years. None can curb the growth in coal demand. “Although coal's contribution to energy security and energy supply is undeniable, I must reiterate that the current use of coal is not sustainable. To change this, we need to radically accelerate the deployment of carbon capture and storage technologies.†Maria Van der Hufen said.
China has promised to diversify its energy production
The International Energy Agency said in its annual mid-year coal market report that China has promised to diversify its energy production and it is expected that by 2030, there will be “surprising†growth in its natural gas, renewable energy, and nuclear power generation. But even so, by 2019, 60% of the global coal industry's growth is expected to come from China, and China, like India and other Southeast Asian countries, will become "one of the main drivers of coal consumption growth."
According to the forecast of the International Energy Agency, global coal demand will increase at an average annual rate of 2.1% until 2019. This figure is lower than the 2.3% predicted in last year and also lower than the actual growth rate from 2010 to 2013 - 3.3%.
Since the Lima Summit failed to reach an agreement on reducing carbon emissions quotas, this forecast is a very dangerous development trend. Coal-fired power plants only produce 40% of the world's electricity, but they are responsible for more than 70% of global emissions. Therefore, countries urgently need to take actions to reduce emissions from coal-fired power plants.
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