However, the reporter asked some lighting manufacturers whether they agree with the report's forecast. Some people think that the progress of oled will not be very rapid. KarstenDiekmann, product manager for Osram's OLED team, said: Market research is a complex project, and it's really hard to say what will happen in 5 to 10 years. Our key performance year is 2016, and we expect to break the barrier of 100lm/W and be competitive with LED technology. At this year's show in Frankfurt, we showed a 65lm/W OLED, which achieved the same performance as compact fluorescent lamps, but unfortunately no one is interested in the performance of energy-saving lamps. It is the true benchmark to show the performance of LEDs. . OLED is catching up, Diekmann believes that OLED technology is twice as fast as LED. Since OSRAM launched the 200mm/W, 5000-hour life-long L50OLED in 2010, great progress has been made. Today's L70OLED has reached 65lm/W and 15000 hours of life, and the brightness has also increased by 3 times. Compared with LEDs, these need to be returned for six or seven years to see double the performance. He also pointed out that LEDs have a greater amount of losses when compared to OLEDs when it comes to thermal performance and optics. Consider the optical loss of the LED and the heat loss of the heat sink. Therefore, at a system level, OLEDs are expected to compete with LEDs in two years. Of course, price is another matter, and Diekmann predicts that OLEDs will be competitive with LEDs at least in price by 2018 or even 2020. And this depends on the adaptation of the market in previous years. Diekmann said: Our goal is clear, OLED must be competitive in price to be successful in the lighting market. To achieve good technical performance in the next two years does not mean that we can start selling OLEDs at the same price as LEDs. First, we need quality projects, new infrastructure, and standardization work before we can start OLED scale. economic. OSRAM hopes that the automotive industry will promote the OLED market and promote cost reduction to achieve universal access to the general lighting market. We believe that OEMs in the automotive industry are desperately looking for opportunities to differentiate themselves and hope to use lighting to create a brand image. Dickman said that they will be the first users of OLED technology. With this, we can increase the size of our economy and then let OLEDs enter the general lighting market.
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